The Window, Graded
Summer 2026, as a record rather than a memory: every claim timestamped when it was made and graded against what actually happened. Journalists and ITKs, same rules.
The window is open until 2026-09-01. These numbers are still moving.
The window in numbers
10,063
Claims tracked
468
Verified moves
3,246
Proven right
9
Proven wrong
6,761
Still open
122
Posts deleted
Counted from 1 June 2026. “Proven wrong” is deliberately rare: a claim is only overturned against a verified outcome, never against another claim.
The table
- 1Fabrizio Romano
S TIER · TrueRank 1623 · 280 contested races
- 2Matteo Moretto
S TIER · TrueRank 1607 · 88 contested races
- 3David Ornstein
S TIER · TrueRank 1577 · 57 contested races
- 4Alex Crook
A TIER · TrueRank 1524 · 73 contested races
- 5Santi Aouna
A TIER · TrueRank 1522 · 20 contested races
- 6Florian Plettenberg
A TIER · TrueRank 1516 · 106 contested races
- 7Nicolo Schira
A TIER · TrueRank 1516 · 328 contested races
- 8Craig Hope
A TIER · TrueRank 1516 · 23 contested races
- 9Rudy Galetti
B TIER · TrueRank 1514 · 15 contested races
- 10Lyall Thomas
B TIER · TrueRank 1512 · 27 contested races
Ranked by TrueRank, an Elo over contested transfer races: being first on stories others also covered. Full table and every account's record on their report card.
Most scoops
- Nicolo Schira · 192 scoops
- Fabrizio Romano · 166 scoops
- Ekrem Konur · 96 scoops
- Ben Jacobs · 64 scoops
- Matteo Moretto · 57 scoops
A scoop is being first on a story at least one other tracked account also covered. Announcement relays are never scoops.
The deletions
- Nicolo Schira · 29 tracked posts deleted
- Fabrizio Romano · 22 tracked posts deleted
- Ekrem Konur · 18 tracked posts deleted
- ITK Space · 13 tracked posts deleted
- Matteo Moretto · 8 tracked posts deleted
A deletion never changes a grade and the claim stays on the record. Timings, never wording, on the deletions ledger.
What the words were worth
- “Done deal” · 39% proven right (516 claims)
- “Agreed personal terms” · 46% proven right (279 claims)
- “Total agreement” · 33% proven right (242 claims)
- “Here we go” · 62% proven right (219 claims)
- “Verbal agreement” · 50% proven right (215 claims)
- “Advanced talks” · 44% proven right (158 claims)
Full table, method and caveats in the Phrasebook.
We don't have opinions. We have timestamps.